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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
2 - 0
Swansea

Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fulton (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

With confidence relatively low in each of these camps, we are expecting a war of attrition over a match full of quality. In the end, though, we can only predict a share of the spoils, one that would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
37.08% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.31%35.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.89% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 37.08%
    Swansea City 35.61%
    Draw 27.31%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Swansea City
10.0%
40
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
3-0
Cardiff
Paterson (29'), Piroe (60'), Bidwell (74')
Manning (63')

Bacuna (26'), Vaulks (90+1')
Mar 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
0-1
Cardiff
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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