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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
37.08% ( 0) | 27.31% | 35.61% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.37% ( -0.01) | 55.63% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.21% ( -0.01) | 76.79% ( 0) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( -0) | 28.91% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( -0) | 64.79% ( 0) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.19% ( -0) | 29.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.11% ( -0.01) | 65.89% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.08% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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