Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
65.45% ( 0.07) | 19.1% ( -0.03) | 15.45% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% ( 0.08) | 37.88% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% ( 0.08) | 60.14% ( -0.08) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.16% ( 0.04) | 10.84% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.08% ( 0.09) | 34.92% ( -0.09) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.58% ( 0) | 37.42% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.79% ( 0) | 74.21% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.49% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.1% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
> Championship Full Table |