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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Ipswich Town |
32.3% ( 0.31) | 25.14% ( -0.15) | 42.56% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% ( 0.76) | 47.16% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% ( 0.7) | 69.39% ( -0.7) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 0.57) | 27.74% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 0.73) | 63.31% ( -0.73) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( 0.25) | 22.12% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.5% ( 0.38) | 55.49% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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