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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
1 - 2
Sunderland

Swift (45+1' pen.)
Molumby (23'), Yokuslu (38'), Swift (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Gelhardt (70'), O'Nien (78'), Gooch (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Sunderland

With both sides having found some form of late, we expect this to be a competitive fixture decided by narrow margins. Sunderland deserve respect for the away record that they have put together this season, but we cannot back against West Brom on familiar territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
50.76% (0.489 0.49) 25.16% (-0.112 -0.11) 24.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (0.13 0.13)52.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.114 0.11)73.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)20.54% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.408 0.41)53.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.264 -0.26)36.56% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.265 -0.27)73.34% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.75%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 25.16%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
Draw
Sunderland
West Bromwich Albion
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Sunderland
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Batth (33')
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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