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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 1
Sunderland


Ng (59'), Kipre (75'), Etete (76'), Rinomhota (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (60')
Neill (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 4-4 Hull City
Friday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Sunderland

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, as both sides are in desperate need of the win. Sunderland will be the favourites, but Cardiff were excellent at Blackpool last time out, so we can see the Welsh team securing a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
35.35% (0.409 0.41) 26.87% (0.273 0.27) 37.77% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-1.077 -1.08)53.88% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.912 -0.91)75.34% (0.91399999999999 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (-0.271 -0.27)29.1% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (-0.336 -0.34)65.03% (0.339 0.34)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)27.66% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-1.164 -1.16)63.21% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 35.35%
    Sunderland 37.77%
    Draw 26.87%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.339 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
26.2%
Draw
38.1%
Sunderland
35.7%
42
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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