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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Cardiff City logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Cardiff

Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Nunez (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kipre (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Reading
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite the difference in league positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture with Cardiff having seemingly turned a corner under Lamouchi. Nevertheless, so have Norwich under Wagner, and we feel that the Canaries will edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
59.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.9% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 16.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (0.038000000000004 0.04)55.52% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (0.032 0.03)76.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.041999999999994 0.04)49.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)81.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 59.24%
    Cardiff City 16.85%
    Draw 23.89%
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Norwich vs Cardiff

Norwich City
81.3%
Draw
10.4%
Cardiff City
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Norwich
Ralls (65')
Bacuna (34'), Pack (54'), Hoilett (57'), Wilson (89')
Pack (70')
Hanley (3'), Cantwell (22')
Dec 19, 2020 12.30pm
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
1-3
Norwich
Ecuele Manga (77')
Richards (40'), Damour (73')
Srbeny (26', 64'), Aarons (69')
Stiepermann (29'), Aarons (79')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Norwich
0-2
Cardiff

Murphy (90')
Zohore (86'), Hoilett (90')
Damour (44'), Peltier (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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