Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 0
Cardiff

Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Nunez (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kipre (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Reading
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite the difference in league positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture with Cardiff having seemingly turned a corner under Lamouchi. Nevertheless, so have Norwich under Wagner, and we feel that the Canaries will edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Cardiff City
59.25% ( 0.03)	23.9% ( -0.02)	16.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.75% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.48% (

0.04)

55.52% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.3% (

0.03)

76.7% (

-0.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

0.02)

18.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

0.04)

49.77% (

-0.04)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.7% (

0.01)

46.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

81.95% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 59.24%

Cardiff City 16.85%

Draw 23.89%

Norwich City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.24%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.85%