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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Cardiff City logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Cardiff

Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Nunez (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kipre (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Reading
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Cardiff City

 Despite the difference in league positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture with Cardiff having seemingly turned a corner under Lamouchi. Nevertheless, so have Norwich under Wagner, and we feel that the Canaries will edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
59.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.9% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 16.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (0.038000000000004 0.04)55.52% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (0.032 0.03)76.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.041999999999994 0.04)49.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)81.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 59.24%
    Cardiff City 16.85%
    Draw 23.89%
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Norwich vs Cardiff

Norwich City
81.3%
Draw
10.4%
Cardiff City
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Norwich
Ralls (65')
Bacuna (34'), Pack (54'), Hoilett (57'), Wilson (89')
Pack (70')
Hanley (3'), Cantwell (22')
Dec 19, 2020 12.30pm
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
1-3
Norwich
Ecuele Manga (77')
Richards (40'), Damour (73')
Srbeny (26', 64'), Aarons (69')
Stiepermann (29'), Aarons (79')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Norwich
0-2
Cardiff

Murphy (90')
Zohore (86'), Hoilett (90')
Damour (44'), Peltier (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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