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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
West Brom logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
West Brom

Hugill (42', 50'), Fosu (76')
Coventry (48'), Rathbone (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (32' pen.)
Townsend (68'), Bartley (70'), Grant (74'), Chalobah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Rotherham have fallen into a relegation battle in the Championship since the World Cup break, and a home fixture against a West Brom side who struggle on the road is a good opportunity to distance themselves from the bottom three. The Baggies simply need to start winning on their travels if they are to finish inside the top six this season, but we see Corberan's men only managing a draw in Yorkshire on Friday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
27.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0010000000000012 0) 47.89% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.67% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43%20.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 27.1%
    West Bromwich Albion 47.88%
    Draw 25%
Rotherham UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.34% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.88%

How you voted: Rotherham vs West Brom

Rotherham United
18.9%
Draw
21.6%
West Bromwich Albion
59.5%
37
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Jul 23, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
1-1
West Brom
Ladapo (3')
O'Shea (63')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
West Brom
2-1
Rotherham
Rodriguez (77' pen.), Harper (79')
Robertson (50')
Mattock (37'), Jones (66')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Rotherham
0-4
West Brom

Mattock (44')
Gayle (6', 44', 54'), Barnes (20')
Barry (29'), Johnstone (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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