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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
35.05% ( 0.57) | 27.7% ( -0.04) | 37.26% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.87% ( 0.21) | 57.13% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% ( 0.17) | 78% ( -0.16) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.47) | 30.91% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% ( 0.55) | 67.2% ( -0.55) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( -0.21) | 29.53% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% ( -0.26) | 65.55% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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