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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Reading |
54.98% ( -0) | 24.03% ( 0) | 20.99% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0) | 50.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0) | 72.6% ( 0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.67% ( -0) | 18.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.58% ( -0) | 49.41% ( 0) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% ( -0) | 38.72% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% ( -0) | 75.46% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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