Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Preston

Akpom (22'), Archer (52', 58'), Forss (90+5')
Steffen (50'), Forss (76'), Fry (78'), Bola (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (45+2'), Fernandez (67'), Diaby (76'), Delap (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Stoke
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Preston
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 3-1 Preston North End

With Preston travelling to the North East full of confidence, they will relish the opportunity to further derail Middlesbrough's automatic promotion bid. However, the home side's extra quality in attack may prove key, and we expect Carrick's side to come through in an entertaining fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Preston North End
62.42% ( -0)	22.01% ( -0.01)	15.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

0.06)

50.43% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

0.05)

72.37% (

-0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.39% (

0.02)

15.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.39% (

0.03)

44.61% (

-0.03)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05% (

0.05)

44.95% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11% (

0.04)

80.9% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 62.41%

Preston North End 15.57%

Draw 22.01%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 62.41%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.01%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.57%