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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.48% ( -0) | 24.58% ( -0.02) | 38.94% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( 0.11) | 43.71% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( 0.11) | 66.1% ( -0.11) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% ( 0.05) | 23.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% ( 0.07) | 57.76% ( -0.07) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( 0.06) | 22.38% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% ( 0.09) | 55.88% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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