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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Piroe (15')
Latibeaudiere (58'), Darling (73'), Fulton (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Ramsey (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-0 Reading
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Middlesbrough

Martin knows that another win needs to be recorded sooner rather than later, and his team may relish the tag of underdogs for this contest. Nevertheless, Middlesbrough have been the clear stand-out team in front of goal since Carrick's appointment, and we expect that to continue on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
36.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.26% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.111 0.11)43.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.111 0.11)66.1% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (0.07 0.07)57.76% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.38% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.093999999999994 0.09)55.88% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Middlesbrough 38.94%
    Draw 24.57%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
9.4%
Draw
9.4%
Middlesbrough
81.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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