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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Swansea logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Swansea

Ayala (89')
Thomas (15'), Travis (45'), Ayala (90+4'), Dolan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Latibeaudiere (51'), Fulton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackpool
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Swansea City

Blackburn are still within touching distance of the top six but need to start turning regular draws into regular wins if they are to finish in the playoffs, with a home tie with Swansea a good opportunity to begin such a run. Swansea narrowly beat Blackpool in the week, but Ewood Park on Saturday will be a harder test which we believe they will not be able to be successful in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
26.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.86% (0.0010000000000012 0) 48.36% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.79% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.029 -0.03)70.89% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.52% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 26.77%
    Swansea City 48.36%
    Draw 24.86%
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.77%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Swansea

Blackburn Rovers
59.0%
Draw
23.1%
Swansea City
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Swansea
0-3
Blackburn

Fulton (20'), Piroe (31'), Obafemi (86')
Szmodics (39'), Brereton Diaz (57'), Travis (84')
Gallagher (35')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Swansea
1-0
Blackburn
Obafemi (16')
Ntcham (37'), Manning (38'), Christie (90+1')
Manning (53')

Rothwell (24'), Buckley (33')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-1
Swansea
Gallagher (36'), Brereton Diaz (48' pen.)
Pickering (18'), Buckley (79'), Ayala (82'), Rothwell (90+2')
Paterson (52')
Latibeaudiere (40'), Cabango (88')
Mar 9, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Blackburn
Cabango (25'), Ayew (61')
Ayew (19'), Bidwell (30'), Cabango (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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