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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Swansea logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Swansea

Ayala (89')
Thomas (15'), Travis (45'), Ayala (90+4'), Dolan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Latibeaudiere (51'), Fulton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackpool
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Swansea City

Blackburn are still within touching distance of the top six but need to start turning regular draws into regular wins if they are to finish in the playoffs, with a home tie with Swansea a good opportunity to begin such a run. Swansea narrowly beat Blackpool in the week, but Ewood Park on Saturday will be a harder test which we believe they will not be able to be successful in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
26.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.86% (0.0010000000000012 0) 48.36% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.79% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.029 -0.03)70.89% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)32.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.52% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 26.77%
    Swansea City 48.36%
    Draw 24.86%
Blackburn RoversDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.77%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Swansea

Blackburn Rovers
59.0%
Draw
23.1%
Swansea City
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Swansea
0-3
Blackburn

Fulton (20'), Piroe (31'), Obafemi (86')
Szmodics (39'), Brereton Diaz (57'), Travis (84')
Gallagher (35')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Swansea
1-0
Blackburn
Obafemi (16')
Ntcham (37'), Manning (38'), Christie (90+1')
Manning (53')

Rothwell (24'), Buckley (33')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-1
Swansea
Gallagher (36'), Brereton Diaz (48' pen.)
Pickering (18'), Buckley (79'), Ayala (82'), Rothwell (90+2')
Paterson (52')
Latibeaudiere (40'), Cabango (88')
Mar 9, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Blackburn
Cabango (25'), Ayew (61')
Ayew (19'), Bidwell (30'), Cabango (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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