MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 17:20:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 0
Swansea

Morris (39')
Clark (49'), Woodrow (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cundle (28'), Cooper (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Swansea City

Luton's previous high level has dropped off recently, leaving Edwards desperately in search of more consistency. While we do not expect the Hatters to have things all their own way on Saturday, they should have enough in the tank to edge this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
43.11% (0.318 0.32) 25.94% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 30.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.11 0.11)51.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.096 0.1)72.91% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.20299999999999 0.2)23.53% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (0.295 0.3)57.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.133 -0.13)30.58% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.156 -0.16)66.81% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.1%
    Swansea City 30.95%
    Draw 25.93%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Swansea City
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!