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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
43.11% ( 0.32) | 25.94% ( -0.05) | 30.95% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( 0.11) | 51.05% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.1) | 72.91% ( -0.1) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( 0.2) | 23.53% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( 0.3) | 57.58% ( -0.3) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% ( -0.13) | 30.58% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% ( -0.16) | 66.81% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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