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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
QPR logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
QPR

Akpom (64', 77'), McGree (90+2')
Akpom (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chair (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Sunderland
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Queens Park Rangers

As we have learned in the Championship over years gone by, anything can happen, and it would be naive to completely rule out QPR. However, these two clubs are clearly on different trajectories right now, and we can only back another convincing victory for Boro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
57.9% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 23.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)51.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.02 -0.02)73.52% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)48.24% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (-0.061 -0.06)41.96% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (-0.052 -0.05)78.4% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 57.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 18.58%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs QPR

Middlesbrough
92.9%
Draw
3.6%
Queens Park Rangers
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
QPR
3-2
Middlesbrough
Willock (13'), Dunne (27'), Dykes (38')
Johansen (77'), Kakay (90+1')
Crooks (41'), Forss (56')
Forss (17'), Bola (73')
Lenihan (90+2')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
QPR
2-2
Middlesbrough
Chair (29'), Willock (46')
Fry (45+2'), Adomah (60' og.)
Howson (84')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
QPR
Ikpeazu (7' pen.), Crooks (72')
Jones (54'), Payero (90+7')
Howson (48' og.), Dykes (56'), Willock (76')
Odubajo (38'), Odubajo (50'), Johansen (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
QPR
Bolasie (28')
Dickie (15'), Wallace (18')
Kakay (31')
Dieng (58')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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