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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
57.9% ( 0.05) | 23.53% ( -0.01) | 18.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( -0.02) | 51.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( -0.02) | 73.52% ( 0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% ( 0.01) | 17.63% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.77% ( 0.02) | 48.24% ( -0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.04% ( -0.06) | 41.96% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.6% ( -0.05) | 78.4% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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