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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Blackpool |
44.67% ( 0.58) | 27.48% ( -0.32) | 27.84% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.71% ( 1.01) | 58.28% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.08% ( 0.78) | 78.91% ( -0.79) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% ( 0.76) | 25.98% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39% ( 1.02) | 61% ( -1.02) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( 0.34) | 36.71% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( 0.34) | 73.49% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Blackpool |
1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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