Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
3 - 1
Blackpool

Potts (12'), Whiteman (26'), Cannon (51')
Potts (15'), Lindsay (21'), Johnson (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Yates (89')
Connolly (76'), Patino (82'), Nelson (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-4 Coventry
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Blackpool

Blackpool would have felt in a decent place until they were thrashed by Coventry, and that could have ramifications for this contest. Preston are not a free-scoring team, but we feel that they will have enough to edge out their rivals at Deepdale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Blackpool
44.67% ( 0.58)	27.48% ( -0.32)	27.84% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.71% (

1.01)

58.28% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.08% (

0.78)

78.91% (

-0.79)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01% (

0.76)

25.98% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

1.02)

61% (

-1.02)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.29% (

0.34)

36.71% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.5% (

0.34)

73.49% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 44.67%

Blackpool 27.84%

Draw 27.48%

Preston North End	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.67%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.84%