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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Preston North End |
66.79% ( 0.14) | 20.44% ( -0.08) | 12.77% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.18% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.37% ( 0.21) | 49.63% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.35% ( 0.18) | 71.65% ( -0.18) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.03% ( 0.11) | 13.97% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.54% ( 0.21) | 41.46% ( -0.21) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.35% ( 0.04) | 48.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.29% ( 0.03) | 83.7% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 66.78% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.44% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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