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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Cardiff City |
62.16% ( -0.02) | 21.71% ( -0.01) | 16.14% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( 0.12) | 48.22% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( 0.11) | 70.37% ( -0.1) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.03) | 14.96% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% ( 0.06) | 43.38% ( -0.05) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.13% ( 0.12) | 42.87% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.82% ( 0.11) | 79.18% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 15 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 49 |
3 | Burnley | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 48 |
4 | Sunderland | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 37 |
7 | Watford | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 36 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Bristol City | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 30 |
13 | Millwall | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 29 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 28 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 25 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 25 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Hull City | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 22 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 21 |
23 | Portsmouth | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 20 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 51 | -29 | 18 |
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