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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Preston North End logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Preston

Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Cooper (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whiteman (51'), Onomah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Preston North End

With these two teams in contrasting form, many will back Preston to edge the contest in East London. Nevertheless, Millwall's recent two defeats have only come by narrow margins, and we feel that the Lions will do enough to earn a draw in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
46.6% (-0.448 -0.45) 28.03% (0.165 0.16) 25.36% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (-0.369 -0.37)61.46% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (-0.277 -0.28)81.34% (0.277 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-0.393 -0.39)26.47% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.524 -0.52)61.65% (0.523 0.52)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)77.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.59%
    Preston North End 25.36%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 25.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Preston

Millwall
47.8%
Draw
17.4%
Preston North End
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Preston
2-4
Millwall
Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
Oct 28, 2020 7pm
Preston
0-2
Millwall

Johnson (71'), Browne (90+1')
Zohore (54'), Wallace (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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