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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
35.78% ( -0.12) | 28.35% ( 0.05) | 35.86% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.45% ( -0.19) | 59.54% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.11% ( -0.15) | 79.89% ( 0.14) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.34% ( -0.17) | 31.65% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.93% ( -0.2) | 68.06% ( 0.19) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.06) | 31.6% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -0.06) | 68.01% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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