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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Luton Town

Millwall
0 - 0
Luton


Saville (40')
FT

Doughty (58'), Campbell (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Luton Town

While Luton are in a position where they would likely accept a point from this contest if it was handed to them, that will not be their priority. Millwall are tough to beat at The Den, yet we feel that the Hatters will battle their way to maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLuton Town
35.78% (-0.115 -0.12) 28.35% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 35.86% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.19 -0.19)59.54% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.146 -0.15)79.89% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)31.65% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (-0.196 -0.2)68.06% (0.193 0.19)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.063999999999997 -0.06)68.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 35.78%
    Luton Town 35.86%
    Draw 28.35%
MillwallDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.86%

How you voted: Millwall vs Luton

Millwall
29.9%
Draw
14.9%
Luton Town
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 8pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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