Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 2-0 Swansea City
After losing their last home fixture, Millwall will be determined to put things right on Tuesday. That is not the ideal scenario for the visitors, who we feel will be unable to withstand their hosts in East London. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
43.9% ( 0.05) | 25.57% ( -0.03) | 30.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
