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Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Millwall

Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

The Wales team have taken 10 points from their first four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Swansea City and Millwall, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.6%29.09%32.31%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61%62.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98%82.02%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.27%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.6%
    Millwall 32.31%
    Draw 29.07%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 5pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swansea
1-0
Millwall
Byers (43')

Marshall (42'), Archer (87')
Sep 1, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
1-2
Swansea
Wallace (62')
Wallace (53')
Naughton (77'), McBurnie (85')
Montero (89')
Baker-Richardson (5')
Apr 30, 2011 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Swansea
Pratley (30'), Dobbie (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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