EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 2Burnley
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The Match
Match Report
Clarets forward Jay Rodriguez suffered an ankle injury early on at the Den.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round tie between Millwall and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
43.87% | 25.84% | 30.28% |
Both teams to score 53.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% | 50.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% | 72.8% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.89% | 23.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.03% | 56.97% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.02% | 30.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% | 67.28% |
Score Analysis |
Millwall 43.87%
Burnley 30.28%
Draw 25.85%
Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.28% |
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Jan 19, 2013 3pm
Sep 29, 2012 3pm
Feb 25, 2012 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-29 11:48:33
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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