Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 2Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Connolly's strike five minutes after the break settled it.
Team News
Charlie Taylor, Matt Lowton, Jack Cork, Ashley Barnes and Ben Mee are all sidelined.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 34.66% | 26.45% | 38.89% |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% | 52.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% | 73.95% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.42% | 64.57% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 34.66%
Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%
Draw 26.45%
| Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.89% |
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Brighton
1-1
Burnley
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Sean Dyche hails Nick Pope as goalkeeper battles for Golden Glove
The Burnley and England goalkeeper has collected 15 clean sheets to put him level with Manchester City's Ederson.
5 years ago
Graham Potter: 'Critics of Burnley's style are disrespectful'
The Clarets are guaranteed a top-half finish.
5 years ago
Sean Dyche refuses to rule out Burnley exit
The manager's future had been the subject of speculation.
5 years ago
