We said: Preston North End 1-1 Sheffield United
Given the margin to the top six, both teams are aware that a share of the spoils from this contest will do neither of them much good. Nevertheless, it is difficult to split these two clubs, and we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.