Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.