Birmingham1 - 2QPR
We said: Birmingham City 0-1 Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham find themselves on a wretched run of form heading into this one and will be severely lacking in creativity without McGree and Chong. QPR will be in high spirits after their late winner in midweek, and despite their opponents being the far fresher side, we can see them picking up a narrow win in their search for a playoff spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 33.66% | 27.89% | 38.45% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% | 78.68% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% | 32.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.24% | 68.75% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% | 29.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.44% |
