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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Watford logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Watford

O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Clarke (65'), O'Nien (78'), Diallo (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Choudhury (10'), Porteous (19'), Davis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Sunderland
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Watford
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-0 Watford

With nothing to play for, Watford may be capable of producing one of their better recent performances. However, we can only back Sunderland to prevail from this fixture, building on an unbeaten run which has given them a chance of a return to the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawWatford
47.78% (0.229 0.23) 25.7% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 26.52% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (0.18 0.18)52.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (0.157 0.16)74.05% (-0.152 -0.15)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.178 0.18)21.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.268 0.27)55.19% (-0.265 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)34.59% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (-0.032 -0.03)71.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Watford 26.52%
    Draw 25.69%
SunderlandDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Watford

Sunderland
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Watford
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Roberts (59')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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