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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
55.1% ( 0.27) | 24.28% ( -0.06) | 20.62% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.87% | 52.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% ( -0) | 73.85% ( 0) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.18% ( 0.1) | 18.81% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% ( 0.17) | 50.24% ( -0.17) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% ( -0.21) | 39.93% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( -0.2) | 76.58% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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