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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Wigan logo

Watford
1 - 1
Wigan

Davis (45')
Wilder (30'), Davis (89'), Louza (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McClean (51')
Power (29'), Rekik (29'), Sinani (45+2'), Darikwa (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Coventry
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Watford started quickly during the win over Birmingham, and Wilder will be hoping his team do the same on Saturday against a Wigan side who struggle to recover from losing positions, especially away from home. The Latics face another formidable opponent on the road after trips to West Bromwich Albion and Burnley earlier in the month, and we expect Maloney's men to earn nothing out of their Vicarage Road test on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
53.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.82% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.33% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.19% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)53.41% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)74.94% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)19.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.033999999999999 0.03)51.86% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.83%
    Wigan Athletic 21.33%
    Draw 24.82%
WatfordDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.33%

How you voted: Watford vs Wigan

Watford
87.5%
Draw
10.0%
Wigan Athletic
2.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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