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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Wigan logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Wigan

Tella (14', 47'), Foster (76')
Roberts (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rekik (9'), Lang (45'), Darikwa (50'), McClean (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Wigan Athletic

With Wigan having tightened things up at the back under Maloney, they will have the mindset that they can earn a surprise result at Turf Moor. Nevertheless, no team is yet to beat Burnley as the away side this campaign, and we do not expect that to start at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
70.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 18.45% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.82%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)11.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.3% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)47.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (0.023 0.02)82.99% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 70.12%
    Wigan Athletic 11.43%
    Draw 18.45%
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.12%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 11.43%

How you voted: Burnley vs Wigan

Burnley
87.9%
Draw
3.0%
Wigan Athletic
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Wigan
1-5
Burnley
Keane (43' pen.)
Tilt (2')
Rodriguez (17'), Brownhill (27', 86'), Tella (51'), Bastien (88')
Muric (41')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-2
Burnley
Pilkington (28'), Gelhardt (67')
Rodriguez (5'), McNeil (11')
Mar 20, 2010 3pm
Wigan
1-0
Burnley
Rodallega (90')
Bramble (68')

McDonald (76'), Duff (80'), Mears (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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