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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Brom logo

Watford
3 - 2
West Brom

Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Hoedt (31'), Choudhury (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Pieters (55'), Molumby (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

With Watford having likely dropped outside of the playoffs come kickoff, there will be an onus on trying to regain that spot on Monday night. However, West Brom are a tough fixture for any team in the division, and we feel that both sides will likely be content with a share of the spoils should the opportunity materialise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
44.75% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.17% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)52.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.07% (0.012 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)23.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.026 -0.03)69.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.74%
    West Bromwich Albion 29.17%
    Draw 26.08%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 44.74%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Watford vs West Brom

Watford
52.0%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
18.1%
171
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Rondon (19'), Evans (21')
Livermore (87'), Evans (88'), McClean (90')
Doucoure (37'), Richarlison (90')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
West Brom
Niang (13'), Deeney (49')
Britos (40'), Niang (69')
Britos (65')

Robson-Kanu (43'), McClean (45'), Livermore (58'), Nyom (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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