Championship | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland2 - 1Luton
The Match
Match Report
Sunderland overturn an early deficit to record a 2-1 victory over Luton Town in the first leg of their Championship playoff semi-final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Sunderland
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Hull City
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
33.3% ( -0.01) | 27.95% | 38.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -0) | 58.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% | 78.9% ( -0) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.01) | 32.64% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.81% ( -0.01) | 69.18% ( 0) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 0) | 29.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.86% ( 0) | 65.14% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Sunderland 33.3%
Luton Town 38.75%
Draw 27.94%
| Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.75% |
How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton
Sunderland
41.3%Draw
34.9%Luton Town
23.8%63
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
