Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
3 - 1
Blackpool

Ruddock (45+2', 76'), Morris (72')
Morris (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lyons (29')
Thorniley (42'), Fiorini (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool

Luton are expected to record another slender home victory against an injury-ravaged opponent to claim a fourth straight win at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Blackpool
61.39% ( -0.39)	22.32% ( 0.03)	16.29% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 47.07% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

0.52)

50.43% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

0.46)

72.36% (

-0.46)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04% (

0.05)

15.95% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.76% (

0.09)

45.23% (

-0.09)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.01% (

0.8)

43.99% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.88% (

0.65)

80.11% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 61.39%

Blackpool 16.29%

Draw 22.31%

Luton Town	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 16.29%