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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Elland Road
Cardiff City logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Cardiff

Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United earn a comeback 2-2 draw with Cardiff City in Sunday's Championship opener at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
40.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 26.71% (0.148 0.15) 33.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.46% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.63 -0.63)53.51% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.534 -0.53)75.02% (0.533 0.53)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)26.21% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.4 -0.4)61.31% (0.398 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)30.26% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.481 -0.48)66.43% (0.479 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 40.04%
    Cardiff City 33.25%
    Draw 26.7%
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Cardiff

Leeds United
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cardiff City
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-4
Cardiff
Bamba (54' og.)
Berardi (26')
Berardi (45')
Paterson (9'), Hoilett (41'), Morrison (45'), Pilkington (88')
Madine (35'), Ralls (45'), Pilkington (79'), Grujic (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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