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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Elland Road
Cardiff City logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Cardiff

Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United earn a comeback 2-2 draw with Cardiff City in Sunday's Championship opener at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
40.04% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 26.71% (0.148 0.15) 33.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.46% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49% (-0.63 -0.63)53.51% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.534 -0.53)75.02% (0.533 0.53)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)26.21% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.4 -0.4)61.31% (0.398 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)30.26% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.481 -0.48)66.43% (0.479 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 40.04%
    Cardiff City 33.25%
    Draw 26.7%
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Cardiff

Leeds United
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cardiff City
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-4
Cardiff
Bamba (54' og.)
Berardi (26')
Berardi (45')
Paterson (9'), Hoilett (41'), Morrison (45'), Pilkington (88')
Madine (35'), Ralls (45'), Pilkington (79'), Grujic (82')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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