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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Cardiff

Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Roberts (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeo (64'), Ng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Basing this on each team's last respective performances, one team will be motivated and the other less so. With that in mind, we expect the Clarets to cruise to a comfortable win, crowning their promotion campaign in the style in which it has been achieved. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
69.01% (1.17 1.17) 19.05% (-0.385 -0.38) 11.94% (-0.787 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-1.151 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (-0.239 -0.24)45.75% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.227 -0.23)68.07% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.256 0.26)12.15% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.542 0.54)37.75% (-0.544 -0.54)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-1.465 -1.47)47.61% (1.463 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-1.11 -1.11)82.94% (1.109 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69%
    Cardiff City 11.94%
    Draw 19.05%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 12.84% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.105 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cardiff City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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