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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Burnley

Conway (60')
Weimann (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Burnley

Despite being crowned champions in midweek, Burnley remain motivated to reach three figures. However, few teams have gotten the better of Bristol City at their home ground of late, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
26.56% (0.221 0.22) 25.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 48.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.174 0.17)49.62% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.154 0.15)71.64% (-0.151 -0.15)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.27 0.27)33.1% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.298 0.3)69.69% (-0.294 -0.29)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)20.53% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.56%
    Burnley 48.4%
    Draw 25.02%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.56%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Burnley
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Scott (32')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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