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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Burnley

Conway (60')
Weimann (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Burnley

Despite being crowned champions in midweek, Burnley remain motivated to reach three figures. However, few teams have gotten the better of Bristol City at their home ground of late, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
26.56% (0.221 0.22) 25.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 48.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.174 0.17)49.62% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.154 0.15)71.64% (-0.151 -0.15)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.27 0.27)33.1% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.298 0.3)69.69% (-0.294 -0.29)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)20.53% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.56%
    Burnley 48.4%
    Draw 25.02%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.56%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Burnley
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Scott (32')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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