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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Burnley |
23.31% ( -0.76) | 24.6% ( -0.41) | 52.09% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( 0.95) | 50.58% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.83) | 72.49% ( -0.83) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.17) | 36.41% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -0.17) | 73.19% ( 0.17) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.84) | 19.39% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( 1.37) | 51.2% ( -1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 52.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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