Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

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Reading
0 - 0
Burnley

Carroll (76'), Mbengue (79'), Lumley (90+4')

Cork (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading are hoping that a change in manager can lead to an upturn in fortunes, starting with the toughest fixture on their calendar. However, we are backing Burnley to canter to the three points in ruthless fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Burnley
23.31% ( -0.76)	24.6% ( -0.41)	52.09% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42% (

0.95)

50.58% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.83)

72.49% (

-0.83)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59% (

-0.17)

36.41% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.8% (

-0.17)

73.19% (

0.17)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.61% (

0.84)

19.39% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.8% (

1.37)

51.2% (

-1.36)

Score Analysis

Reading 23.31%

Burnley 52.09%

Draw 24.6%

Reading	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.31%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 52.09%