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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Vyner (22'), Weimann (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Smith (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Despite losing their defensive acumen in recent matches, Middlesbrough never need any lessons in breaking down the opposition, and an injury-hit Bristol City side should strap in for a rough ride against the vengeful Boro. The Robins' penchant for goals at Ashton Gate will serve them well, but we still have faith in Carrick's men to get their promotion charge back on track and deal Pearson's side their first Championship home defeat of 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
30.76% (-0.924 -0.92) 24.94% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 44.3% (0.829 0.83)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.794 -0.79)46.83% (0.792 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.747 -0.75)69.08% (0.74600000000001 0.75)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.99799999999999 -1)28.58% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-1.267 -1.27)64.37% (1.266 1.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.067 0.07)54.04% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.76%
    Middlesbrough 44.3%
    Draw 24.93%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
15.2%
Draw
17.4%
Middlesbrough
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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