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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
2 - 2
Ajax

Vlap (42', 65')
Besselink (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klaassen (59'), Traore (67')
Hato (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 5-0 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: FC Twente 2-2 Ajax

While Ajax have all the momentum coming into this match, Twente are no pushover on their home patch and are unbeaten in their last three matches against his opponent at this venue. The visitors claimed a massive three points at home last week to keep PSV within touching distance, but we feel that the hosts this week will be able to get something from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
45.27% (-0.672 -0.67) 23.15% (0.216 0.22) 31.58% (0.455 0.46)
Both teams to score 63.02% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.81% (-0.835 -0.84)38.19% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.53% (-0.895 -0.9)60.46% (0.894 0.89)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)17.28% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-1.035 -1.04)47.61% (1.035 1.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)23.82% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (-0.197 -0.2)57.99% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 45.27%
    Ajax 31.58%
    Draw 23.15%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.27%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
22.0%
Draw
19.8%
Ajax
58.2%
91
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
2-1
FC Twente
Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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