Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
0 - 0
FC Twente

Tadic (55')
Rensch (35')

Sampsted (13'), van Wolfswinkel (45+6'), Zerrouki (61'), Tzolis (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Emmen
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax put five goals past Twente in this fixture last season, but Twente have conceded the fewest goals in the division so far this term with nine, while also keeping the most clean sheets, suggesting that they will be hard to break down this weekend. However, the hosts have have scored the most goals in the league, so we think they will have the firepower to edge this encounter and claim all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.84% and a draw had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (4.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	FC Twente
63.26% ( 0.03)	17.89% ( -0.01)	18.84% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 68.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.67% (

-0.01)

25.33% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.65% (

-0.01)

45.34% (

0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.15% (

7.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.18% (

0.01)

27.81% (

-0.01)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.02)

25.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

-0.03)

60.79% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ajax 63.26%

FC Twente 18.84%

Draw 17.89%

Ajax	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.65% 4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 4.46% Total : 63.26%	1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.89%	1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 18.84%