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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
13.25% (![]() | 15.64% (![]() | 71.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.44% (![]() | 25.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.35% (![]() | 45.65% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% (![]() | 32.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% (![]() | 68.5% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.57% (![]() | 6.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.95% (![]() | 24.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.66% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.25% | 1-1 @ 6.43% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 8.83% (![]() 1-3 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 4.27% Total : 71.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |