Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Nov 13, 2022 at 11.15am UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
6 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Elkarouani (36')

FT(HT: 1-1)

van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Gaari (58'), Anita (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 Nijmegen
Friday, November 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 3-1 AZ
Sunday, November 6 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is little separating the teams ahead of this one and the game could easily swing either way. We expect a closely-contested affair with honours even come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
54.14% ( -0.24)	22.55% ( 0.01)	23.31% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25% (

0.2)

41.75% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.84% (

0.2)

64.15% (

-0.2)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.01)

15.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.81% (

-0.02)

44.19% (

0.02)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

0.3)

31.55% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

0.35)

67.94% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

NEC 54.14%

RKC Waalwijk 23.31%

Draw 22.55%

NEC	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.14%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.55%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.31%