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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.27% ( 0.1) | 24.37% ( -0) | 26.36% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.99% ( -0.07) | 47.01% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( -0.07) | 69.26% ( 0.07) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0.02) | 19.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% ( 0.02) | 50.78% ( -0.02) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( -0.12) | 31.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% ( -0.14) | 68.31% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |