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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
53.57% ( 0.08) | 24.23% ( -0.06) | 22.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% ( 0.24) | 50.21% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( 0.21) | 72.16% ( -0.21) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( 0.12) | 18.67% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% ( 0.2) | 50.01% ( -0.2) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.75% ( 0.12) | 37.25% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% ( 0.12) | 74.03% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |