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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
46.76% ( 0.2) | 25.46% ( -0.14) | 27.79% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.41% ( 0.52) | 50.59% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% ( 0.46) | 72.51% ( -0.46) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% ( 0.31) | 21.64% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.24% ( 0.47) | 54.76% ( -0.47) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( 0.23) | 32.65% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( 0.25) | 69.19% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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