Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Sparta2 - 0Nijmegen
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC
NEC have been on a remarkable run of draws recently, and we expect it to continue for at least another game. Despite Sparta Rotterdam's good recent form at home, Nijmegen have been able to keep it tight at the back and frustrate teams, which they are likely to do again on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
46.76% ( 0.2) | 25.46% ( -0.14) | 27.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( 0.52) | 50.59% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( 0.46) | 72.51% ( -0.46) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.31) | 21.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0.47) | 54.76% ( -0.47) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( 0.23) | 32.65% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.81% ( 0.25) | 69.19% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam 46.75%
NEC 27.79%
Draw 25.45%
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.79% |
How you voted: Sparta vs Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
47.4%Draw
44.7%NEC
7.9%38
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
Feb 25, 2017 6.45pm
