Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2022 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
1 - 1
NEC

Odgaard (57')
de Wit (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marquez (54')
Bruijn (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambuur 0-1 AZ
Sunday, August 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Twente	4	7	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	4	9
6	Heerenveen	4	5	8

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 1-1 Groningen
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Groningen	4	-4	5
9	NEC	3	2	4
10	Cambuur	4	0	4

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 NEC

Although NEC have taken four points from their last two games, we think that they will fail to take anything off an AZ Alkmaar side who are enjoying an impressive run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
76.46% ( 0.17)	14.73% ( -0.14)	8.82% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.24% (

0.62)

34.76% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.28% (

0.69)

56.72% (

-0.68)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.49% (

0.18)

7.51% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.06% (

0.45)

26.94% (

-0.45)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.7% (

0.38)

46.3% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

0.29)

81.95% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 76.45%

NEC 8.82%

Draw 14.73%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 76.45%	1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.73%	0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 8.82%