Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Aug 28, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Cambuur Stadion

Cambuur
0 - 1
AZ

Paulissen (23')
Jacobs (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Clasie (90')
Milos (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambuur

Last Six:

Last Game: Sittard 1-4 Cambuur
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	NEC	3	2	4
10	Cambuur	3	1	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	-1	4

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 AZ
Thursday, August 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	FC Twente	2	4	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	3	6
8	Groningen	4	-4	5

We said: Cambuur 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ's dominance in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them here. We are backing the away side to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
20.42% ( -0.02)	20.78% ( -0.14)	58.8% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.97% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.86% (

0.64)

37.13% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.66% (

0.68)

59.33% (

-0.69)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.35)

31.53% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

0.4)

67.92% (

-0.4)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

0.25)

12.4% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

0.51)

38.29% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 20.42%

AZ Alkmaar 58.8%

Draw 20.78%

Cambuur	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.42%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.07% Total : 58.8%