Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

May 15, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Goffertstadion

NEC
0 - 1
Sittard

Schone (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Flemming (13')
Baghdadi (35'), Semedo (72'), Siovas (90'), van Osch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38

Fortuna Sittard

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30

We said: NEC 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

Each of the last five editions of this fixture have ended in both teams finding the back of the net, and we expect that trend to continue. That said, we also tip the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece at full time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
53.76% ( -0.82)	22.99% ( 0.3)	23.25% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 56.36% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

-0.79)

43.78% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

-0.77)

66.16% (

0.77)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

-0.57)

16.23% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-1.04)

45.75% (

1.03)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.29% (

0.02)

32.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.73% (

0.02)

69.26% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

NEC 53.76%

Fortuna Sittard 23.25%

Draw 22.98%

NEC	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.76%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.25%