Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 4
Ajax

Clement (40')
Gaari (2'), Oukili (18'), Adewoye (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Blind (43'), Grillitsch (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Ajax

Ajax served up a reminder of how ruthless they can be in front of goal last time out, and while we do not expect them to put up similar numbers in this one, we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Ajax
15.65% ( 1.83)	17.53% ( 1.52)	66.82% ( -3.35)

Both teams to score 62.5% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.37% (

-3.55)

29.62% (

3.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.26% (

-4.43)

50.73% (

4.43)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.2)

31.87% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

-0.24)

68.32% (

0.23)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.74% (

-1.55)

8.26% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.14% (

-4.02)

28.86% (

4.02)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 15.65%

Ajax 66.82%

Draw 17.53%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.57) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.95% Total : 15.65%	1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.53%	1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.82) 1-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.57) 2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 4.24% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.35) 1-5 @ 2.42% ( -0.51) 0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.43) 2-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.3) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.14) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.82%