Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
RKC Waalwijk1 - 4Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Ajax
Ajax served up a reminder of how ruthless they can be in front of goal last time out, and while we do not expect them to put up similar numbers in this one, we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
15.65% ( 1.83) | 17.53% ( 1.52) | 66.82% ( -3.35) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.37% ( -3.55) | 29.62% ( 3.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.26% ( -4.43) | 50.73% ( 4.43) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.2) | 31.87% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.68% ( -0.24) | 68.32% ( 0.23) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.74% ( -1.55) | 8.26% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.14% ( -4.02) | 28.86% ( 4.02) |
| Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk 15.65%
Ajax 66.82%
Draw 17.53%
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.57)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.95% Total : 15.65% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.18)0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.82)1-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.57)2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 4.24% ( -0.47)2-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.35)1-5 @ 2.42% ( -0.51)0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.43)2-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.3)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.14)1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.31)Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.82% |
How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
8.3%Draw
8.3%Ajax
83.3%60
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Feb 16, 2020 1.30pm
