Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax7 - 1Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Ajax 3-1 SBV Excelsior
Ajax have been breached in each of their last six games, and we expect that to continue here. That said, we are also backing the home side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
85.07% ( 0.2) | 9.53% ( -0.02) | 5.39% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.86) | 20.74% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.85% ( -1.22) | 39.14% ( 1.21) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.65% ( -0.12) | 3.35% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 85.27% ( -0.39) | 14.72% ( 0.38) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.16% ( -1.42) | 43.84% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.01% ( -1.19) | 79.99% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 85.07%
SBV Excelsior 5.39%
Draw 9.53%
| Ajax | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 3-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.39)4-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.27)5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)6-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.12)7-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)6-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.74% Total : 85.07% | 1-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.07% Total : 9.53% | 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 5.39% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Excelsior
Ajax
91.7%Draw
4.2%SBV Excelsior
4.2%24
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
Dec 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2017 1.30pm
