Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Ajax 3-1 SBV Excelsior
Ajax have been breached in each of their last six games, and we expect that to continue here. That said, we are also backing the home side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.07% . A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 5.39% .
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.59% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 4-0 (8.14%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.7%) . The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result Ajax Draw SBV Excelsior 85.07% ( 0.2) 9.53% ( -0.02) 5.39% ( -0.18)
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -1.43)
79.25% ( -0.86) 20.74% ( 0.85)
60.85% ( -1.22) 39.14% ( 1.21)
96.65% ( -0.12) 3.35% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 85.27% ( -0.39) 14.72% ( 0.38)
56.16% ( -1.42) 43.84% ( 1.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.01% ( -1.19) 79.99% ( 1.18)
Ajax 85.07%
SBV Excelsior 5.39%
Draw 9.53%
Ajax Draw SBV Excelsior 3-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 7-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.74% Total : 85.07% 1-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.07% Total : 9.53% 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 5.39%
How you voted: Ajax vs Excelsior
24
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-21 20:31:34
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